When Will Tropical Storm Elsa Hit Nj
After moving through North Carolina Thursday morning and afternoon, Elsa is expected to drift across eastern Virginia and approach southern Delaware and southeastern New Jersey late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Forecasters say Elsa will likely accelerate and move northeast, away from New Jersey and towards eastern Long Island, New York, late Friday morning.
The latest forecast track of Tropical Storm Elsa has shifted slightly east during the past day. The black line represents the location where forecasters believe the center of the storm has the highest probability of moving. Heavy rain and gusty winds will still be a threat on either side of the black line.National Hurricane Center
Long Island Prepares For The Storm
As the storm approaches the tri-state area, Nassau County officials discussed the Long Island areas preparedness for the storm.
Nassau Countys emergency management team is well equipped to respond to disasters and storms, according to Nassau Executive Laura Curran.
Since Superstorm Sandy, the county has made emergency preparedness improvements, including adding disaster monitoring consultants.
Anyone who loses power is urged to contact PSEG Long Island. The electric company has added about 1,000 out-of-state workers and provided additional resources.
PSEG wants to get it right following the outage issues Long Island residents faced following Tropical Storm Isaias last summer.
They know how incredibly important it is to get it right because of last year, Curran said.
To report outages or downed wires, call PSEGs 24-hour hotline at 800-490-0075.
A Tropical Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Areas Outside New York City Late Thursday And Early Friday
NEW YORK CITY Coastal areas right outside New York City face a tropical storm warning while the city itself so far looks to be spared.
Tropical Storm Elsa is barreling up the coast, about 650 miles southwest of New York City as of Thursday morning, according to the National Weather Service.
“The storm will then pass near or over the Mid Atlantic coast late tonight, and near or over Long Island and southeast New England on Friday morning,” the tropical storm warning states.
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Tropical Storm Elsa To Drench New York After Lashing Florida
Tropical Storm Elsa is poised to gain strength off the coasts of New York and New Jersey on Friday, dumping heavy rain on the Northeast and the Canadian Maritimes after buffeting Florida earlier in the week.
Elsas top winds fell to 50 miles per hour as it spun across northern Florida Wednesday, the US National Hurricane Center said in a 2 p.m. New York time advisory. The storm is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression Thursday over the Carolinas and Virginia before entering the Atlantic once again off New Jersey. A depression is the weakest class of storm in the family of systems that includes hurricanes.
The question then becomes is it able to re-strengthen into a tropical storm, said Paul Walker, a meteorologist with commercial forecaster AccuWeather Inc. Regardless of whether theyre from Elsa or another system in the East, there will be good rains from the mid-Atlantic into New England and into Atlantic Canada.
Elsa is the fifth Atlantic storm this year and became the seasons first hurricane as it moved through the Caribbean last week, killing at least three people. Its also the third named storm to hit the US this year. While meteorologists dont expect the tally of Atlantic storms in 2021 to reach last years record of 30, theyre predicting a more active hurricane season than normal.
The storms worst winds will remain on its east side, mainly out to sea, Walker said.
Heavy rain could come up the I-95 corridor, Walker said.
Tropical Storm Elsa Soaks Nyc As It Races Up East Coast
- Fast-moving Tropical Storm Elsa hit the New York City region with heavy rain and high winds Friday, toppling trees and hindering some rail service as it churned its way toward New England.
- Maximum sustained winds from the storm peaked near 50 mph as it moved past New York City and across the eastern tip of Long Island, the National Hurricane Center said in an 11 a.m. update.
- The downpour caused a small rock slide under the main railroad track in West Haven, Connecticut, forcing trains to switch to a secondary track for a couple of hours. The coastal city also was dealing with street flooding.
- The system was already blamed for one death in Florida on Wednesday. And Elsa also previously caused a damaging tornado in Georgia.
Fast-moving Tropical Storm Elsa hit the New York City region with heavy rain and high winds Friday, toppling trees and hindering some rail service as it churned its way toward New England.
Maximum sustained winds from the storm peaked near 50 mph as it moved past New York City and across the eastern tip of Long Island, the National Hurricane Center said in an 11 a.m. update.
Storm conditions caused snags on commuter rail lines across the region, with slight delays on the Harlem Line north of the city and service suspended on the Long Island Rail Road’s Oyster Bay Branch because of fallen trees.
“We’re waiting on the water to recede,” said Joe Soto, the city’s emergency management director. “The drainage system was just overwhelmed.”
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Tropical Storm Elsa Hits Florida
Wednesday, July 7
The National Hurricane Center said Elsa will hit the Florida Gulf Coast by Wednesday morning.
- The storm had previously been a tropical storm before it was upgraded to a hurricane late Tuesday. Elsa was expected to be the first hurricane to make landfall in the U.S. this season, as I wrote for the Deseret News.
When Will The Rain Arrive
The National Weather Service says scattered showers and thunderstorms coming from a trough of low pressure from the Great Lakes region stretching into central Pennsylvania not from the tropical storm will likely start in parts of the Garden State early Thursday afternoonand continue into Thursday evening. Rain is expected to get heavier after midnight, as Tropical Storm Elsa moves closer to South Jersey.
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How Tropical Storm Elsa Could Cause Flooding In Upstate Ny
This is the latest forecast track of Tropical Storm Elsa, as of 11 a.m. Wednesday, July 7.National Hurricane Center
Syracuse, N.Y. — As Tropical Storm Elsa makes landfill in Florida today and begins chugging up the East Coast, forecasters are concerned about its potential to cause flooding in water-logged Upstate New York.
The final path of the storm, combined with already saturated ground and a separate storm system arriving from the east, could lead to extensive flooding Thursday and into early Friday. Much remains uncertain, though, including the storms path and its eventual collision with the system moving in from the Great Lakes.
Theres little doubt that the wide arc of Atlantic moisture swirling around the center of the storm will deliver heavy rain, but its not clear just how much and where. Forecasts call for 1 to 3 inches, with the heaviest amounts likely in the Hudson Valley, but bands of rain form and move slowly, more rain could fall in some areas.
Right now, forecasters believe the center of the storm will stay along the coast or just off into the Atlantic Ocean, pulling the heaviest rain Upstate into the lower Hudson Valley and Catskills.
The path is going to go off the mid-Atlantic Coast and up the Jersey coast, toward Nantucket. Thats pretty far to your south and east, said Paul Walker, a meteorologist at Accuweather.
New York state climatologist Mark Wysocki is in the same forecasting camp.
Flash Flood Watch And Warning
A Flash Flood Watch and Flash Flood Warning were in effect through Friday morning for most of the Tri-State Region.
Suffolk County was under a Flash Flood Warning until 12:45 p.m Dutchess County until 2:00 p.m Fairfield County until 11:45 a.m
Fairfield County, Nassau County, and Westchester County were under a Flash Flood Warning until 12 p.m.
A Flash Flood Watch was in effect until 12 pm for:
Bronx County, Kings County , New York County , Northeast Suffolk County, Northern Nassau County, Northern Queens County, Northern Westchester County, Northwest Suffolk County, Orange County, Putnam County, Richmond County , Rockland County, Southeast Suffolk County, Southern Nassau County, Southern Queens County, Southern Westchester County, Southwest Suffolk County, Eastern Bergen County, Eastern Essex County, Eastern Passaic County, Eastern Union County, Hudson County, Western Bergen County, Western Essex County, Western Passaic County, Western Union County.
A Flash Flood Watch was in effect until 4 p.m. for:
Eastern Dutchess County, Eastern Ulster County, Western Dutchess County, Western Ulster County.
Excessive runoff from rainfall caused flooding of urban areas, highways, streets, underpasses, subway stations, as well as other poor drainage or low-lying spots, authorities said.
Elsa hits Long Island
Tropical Storm Elsa has brought flash flooding and strong winds to Long Island, particularly the south shore.
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What Is The Tropical Storm’s Path
It weakened to a tropical storm as it began to move north, yet after leaving Cuba, it briefly regained hurricane force over the Gulf of Mexico. It was then downgraded again on its approach to Florida.
But meteorologists say it has again strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane with 75mph winds.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has declared a state of emergency in 15 counties – including Miami-Dade – with warnings of flooding and even tornadoes.
He said: “All Floridians in the potential path of this storm need to prepare for the risk of isolated tornadoes, storm surge, heavy rainfall, and flash flooding.”
With Florida bracing for a battering from Storm Elsa, it is feared the weather could endanger search efforts to find more than 120 people missing after the Champlain Tower South Condo in Surfside collapsed.
The remaining portion of the partially collapsed condo was demolished ahead of storm Elsa despite pleas from survivors to save their pets.
The storm whipped through Cuba on the evening of Monday, July 5, before reaching the Florida straits on Tuesday morning.
Tropical Storm Elsa Heads To Northeast After Leaving Tornadoes In The South
Thursday, July 8
- Several suspected tornadoes popped up in the storms wake in the Southeast, according to CNN. One tornado in Kings Bay, Georgia, left multiple people injured and widespread damage in the area.
- There have been other tornadoes spotted in Florida and Georgia on Wednesday. Officials expressed worry for more tornadoes overnight because the storm was sitting pat in the South.
Now, Elsa makes her way toward the Eastern Seaboard. The storm has already brought torrential rain to North Carolina and South Carolina, according to The New York Times. The storm might even have a confrontation with New York and Massachusetts.
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Storm Elsa Hits New York: Heavy Rain Floods Subways And Partially Submerges Cars
Residents of New York have been sharing videos of flooded subways and partially submerged cars, as the remnants of Storm Elsa pass through the city area.
The tropical storm has weakened since it passed over northern Florida, but the National Weather Service has warned that New York city area could see more flooding and heavy rain.
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Tracking Elsa: Maps Detail When Tropical Storm Will Hit Nyc
This GOES-16 GeoColor satellite image taken Tuesday, July 6, 2021, at 5:50 p.m. EDT, and provided by NOAA, shows Tropical Storm Elsa in the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Florida. APAP
STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. Tropical Storm Elsa, which made landfall in Florida on Wednesday after becoming the first named hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic season, continues to churn up the northeast and is aimed at New York.
The latest National Weather Service maps show when the system is expected to reach New York and how tropical storm-force winds and flash flooding could impact Staten Island and the surrounding area.
Here is what we know:
A National Weather Service map warning of flash flooding caused by Elsa.
FLASH FLOOD WARNING ISSUED FOR STATEN ISLAND
Staten Island has a moderate risk of flash flooding due to Elsa, according to the National Weather Service, and sits among the areas with the highest percent change of inundation.
A flash flood watch, which is in effect from late Thursday through Friday morning, warns that portions of the tri-state area will bring intense rainfall that could cause conditions that lead to flooding.
Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation, the National Weather Service said. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued.
A National Weather Service graphic detailing rainfall totals from Elsa.
A National Weather Service map detailing wind speed probabilities.
STATEN ISLAND COULD MISS WORST WINDS
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Where Have Warnings Been Issued
A tropical storm warningis in effect for Atlantic, Cape May, Monmouth and Ocean counties, along with southeastern Burlington County. The warning will be active until further notice.
A flash flood watch is in effect in all 21 counties in New Jersey: Atlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Essex, Hudson, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Passaic, Salem, Somerset, Sussex, Union and Warren. The watch is active until noon on Friday.
Update : A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, Union and Warren counties, effective until 9 p.m. Thursday.
A cluster of strong thunderstorms was moving across parts of northern New Jersey at 2:15 p.m., and News 12 New Jersey was reporting golfball-size hail in Bergen County.
Areas shaded in yellow are under a severe thunderstorm watch, effective until 9 p.m. Thursday, July 8.National Weather Service
As Tropical Storm Elsa Soaks New York And The East Coast How To Prepare For Another Above
Fast-moving Tropical Storm Elsa hit the New York City region with torrential rains and high winds, then headed up the East Coast on Friday.
Video: Tropical Storm Elsa makes its way up East Coast
Wind speeds had ticked down from overnight readings as high as 78 mph in coastal New Jersey that appeared to be associated with nearby tornadoes, the National Hurricane Center said in a morning update.
Heavy rains were causing potential traffic hazards in New York City and nearby suburbs, which were already reeling from a deluge Thursday that flooded roads and at least one subway station, the Associated Press reported. Up to 6 inches of rain was possible in some areas Friday. The hurricane center said a tornado or two was possible through early afternoon Friday over parts of Long Island and southeastern New England.
Elsa hits about a month into an Atlantic hurricane season that runs through November and is predicted to pack another above-normal storm tally as the impact of climate change brings fresh attention to deadly and destructive weather events, especially flooding.
What do we know about how climate change has contributed to the history-making devastation?
Its too simplistic, even lazy, to say for sure that climate change has brought more hurricanes, say scientists.
Experts at the World Meteorological Organization and the National Hurricane Center are considering advancing the start date of hurricane season to May 15.
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When Will The Strongest Winds Arrive
The National Weather Service says tropical storm-force winds sustained at 39 mph or higher, with gusts up to 45 to 50 mph could begin blowing along the Jersey Shore as early as Thursday night. As of now, forecasters say the most likely arrival time will be between midnight tonight and 2 a.m. Friday.
The greatest threat for tropical storm-force winds will be along the coast and marine areas, the weather service said. However, there is a chance these strong winds could reach farther inland.
This graphic shows the most likely arrival times of tropical storm-force winds of 39 mph or higher as Tropical Storm Elsa moves across the eastern United States.National Hurricane Center
Tropical Storm Elsa Brings Flooding Threat To New York Area
The storm was expected to move across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Friday.
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As of 5 a.m. Friday, Elsa was about five miles east of Atlantic City, N.J., and moving northeast at 31 miles per hour toward Delaware Bay, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm had maximum sustained winds of 50 m.p.h. and was expected to pass over the eastern Mid-Atlantic region later on Friday morning.
Elsa would then move near or over the Northeast later in the day, the center said. Up to four inches of rain was expected in the eastern Mid-Atlantic and parts of New England, with isolated totals of up to six inches, and tornadoes were possible along the Mid-Atlantic coast, it added.
Tropical storm warnings were in effect early Friday along parts of the East Coast as far north as Massachusetts. Elsa was expected to weaken to a post-tropical cyclone by Friday evening.
Even before Elsa arrived in the New York region, heavy rains pounded parts of New York City on Thursday night, flooding some subway stations and major roads.
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